Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. I'm going to take it one step at a time. She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. font-weight: bold; Because multiple horses are in each race, as opposed to two teams (binary) in a sport (or chess, which uses the Elo rating system to make power ratings), the task of adjusting power ratings is much more complex. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. 0:49. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. We might not have seen the best from Secret Oath and Creative Minister, who have shown they can run competitivefigures while they continue to improve. His Beyer Speed Figure of 92 is only 4 points off the second best number. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Beyers subsequent books, My $50,000 Year at the Races (1978), The Winning Horseplayer (1983), and Beyer on Speed (1993) continued to raise racing fans awareness of the importance of speed figures. by ericdecoster February 9, 202211 min read. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on Saturday for his first stakes win in 14 career starts. Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). They have come in quite a bit behind their competition, too, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road. The latter calculation compensates for a racetrack running faster or slower than usual. Going into last year's Kentucky Derby, the highest Beyer Speed Figure earned during the prep season was a 100 posted by Rock Your World when winning the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Sven Beyer. This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. table.tableizer-table { There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. Odds are estimates, as the opening morning line odds will not be released by Churchill Downs until the post position draw a few days before the first Saturday in May. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. Owned by WinStar . He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. "Five Takeaways" From the Week Concluding March 13, 2022 By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Analyst and Handicapper. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. (Only Epicenter, Messier . This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. p: (800) 647-6571 Beyer Speed Figures had him with a top of 79 as a 2-year-old, but he earned a 94 for the San Vicente and a 98 for the San Felipe, so he's . OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . The list since 1987 Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. Andrew Beyer and his associates answer selected readers questions about Beyer Speed Figures. His strong and consistent 3-year-old form, combined with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical. Why do we care? 60 Broad St. margin: 3px; It has sold approximately 200,000 copies, has been translated into Japanese and Korean, and is still in print after 44 years. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? In horse racing, power ratings are generally called class ratings. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. 2022 Preakness: Beyer Speed Figures For Every Horse. 3-Year-Old Female Older Male Older Female. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. They keep stressing do what's right for the horse. Messier (7-1), Zandon (8-1), and Mo Donegal (8-1) are other top 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders according to oddsmakers. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . Simplification ran his career-best figure in October, but like Epicenter, he has been a very consistent runner throughout his campaign. The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. At 1 3/16 miles, its the longest Derby prep race, which is why the market looks extremely bullish on Epicenter. Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. Red Bank, NJ 07701, p: (732) 747-8060 The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. With Rich Strike and Zandon defecting, it opens the door for the Derby runner-up to dip below 2-1, which is unusually short for a non-Derby winner. Simplification seems like the most likely horse to show up for the exotics. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. Shancelot was trained by Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been well documented. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, Tacitus 2019 Kentucky Derby Contender Profile, 2022 Belmont Stakes Odds: We The People Overtakes Mo Donegal On The Oddsboard, 2022 Breeders Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets. Kentucky Derby 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. The highest official numbers belong to the sprinter Groovy, who earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987. Holy Bull earned a 121 in his career. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. Still, Carrick was assigned a Beyer Speed Figure of 95, while Robert Bruce got a 102. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Every race since has been shorter. In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect. Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. Through 02/26/2023. So a high BSF ceiling is notable, but also consistency is a plus too to battle possible negative regression. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. (Note that this speed figure was assigned before the numbers were published in the Daily Racing Form, so may not be included in some listings of the top speed figures. Commentator, who once ran a 123 in his career, scored a 120 as a 7-year-old, possibly a record for a horse that old. Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. It's an exciting time. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. background-color: #104E8B; Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. 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