display: none; table-layout: fixed; ( July 13, 2022, 7:27 am redistricting Dan Tokaji. It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation. ) [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning. Mitch McConnells Two Most Important Votes, Christie Says GOP Must Call Biden a Liar , Solicitor General May Have Saved Student Loan Plan, Air Force Leaders Fired for Failing Nuclear Safety, Video Shows Drag Bill Author Dressed in Drag, Christie Says Grand Juror Damaged Case Against Trump, CPAC No Longer a Must-Stop for Republican Candidates, Comer Suggests Beau Biden Should Have Been Indicted, Trump Campaign Sought Help from Proud Boys, Kinzinger Launches Campaign Against Extremism, Florida Republican Would Ban Democratic Party, Havana Syndrome Not Caused by Energy Weapon, McCarthy Aide Meets with Mother of Rioter, Garland Promises Free Rein for Prosecutors, Trump Plans First Iowa Trip of 2024 Campaign, Trumps Ambassador Slams Netanyahus Judicial Plan, Biden Aides Mull Economic Aid After Derailment, Democratic Leaders Ask Murdoch to Stop Fox Lies. On November 5, 1996, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. [year] => 0 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Find and connect with the right journalist, right when you need them. Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 115th Congress The Cook Political Report Arranged by State/District. This chart provides a spectrum that analyzes the competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan political districts and subdivisions each cycle. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. A swing district . The PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district's presidential vote to the national presidential election results. [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. justify-content: center; In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. [17], If the state legislature is unable to approve a state legislative redistricting plan, a backup commission must draw the lines (the backup commission is not involved in congressional redistricting). A swing district, according to Cook, is defined by a PVI rating ranging from D+5 to R+5. [post__in] => Array Franita Tolson and Edward Foley. .indicate_scroll { margin: 0 5px; Source. display: inline-block; color: #f0a236; [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. [post_type] => resources [update_post_term_cache] => 1 [clauses:protected] => Array 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. James Rodgers defeated James Harris in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. On November 3, 1992, Eddie Bernice Johnson won election to the United States House. The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) won re-election. "[17], Following the 2010 United States Census, Texas gained four congressional seats. GOP Primary Could Become a Darwinian Struggle. flex-wrap: wrap; If you have turned it off manually in your browser, please enable it to better experience this site. } The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Slate, January 25, 2023, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, Slate, November 14, 2022, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, The Atlantic, November 2, 2022, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation, NBC News Think, November 1, 2022, The Supreme Court is Headed for a Self-Imposed Voting Caseload Disaster, Slate, October 26, 2022 (with Nat Bach), The Truly Scary Part About the 1.6 Billion Conservative Donation, Slate, August 23, 2022 (with Dahlia Lithwick), What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Slate, July 25, 2022, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear,Slate, June 30, 2022, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump,N.Y. Times, June 24, 2022, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024,Wash. Post, June 8, 2022, The One Group That Can Stop Elon Musk from Unbanning Trump on Twitter,Slate, May 10, 2022, Facebook and Twitter Could Let Trump Back Online. } background-color: #334aab; 1793 (2020), Nicholas Stephanopoulos, The Sweep of the Electoral Power (October 20, 2020). align-items: stretch; December 1, 2020 by Andy Jackson. .leg-hnt-leadership > div { Request the spreadsheet here. font-style: italic; The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. ( These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become competitive. ) Thus, Partisan Propensity Index, or PPI, is defined as the percentage chance that the Democrat would have won and open-seat race for Congress in a particular district given the conditions. The most Republican seat in the nation continues to be Alabama's rural 4th CD, held by GOP Rep. Robert Aderholt, with a PVI score of R+33. position: relative; [lazy_load_term_meta] => 1 } ( border-radius: 50%; This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members:[17], The Texas Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and "that they preserve whole counties when population mandates permit. font-weight: 500; University of Wisconsin Law SchoolView posts , Vice Dean for Faculty These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested. .leg-hnt-flex-item { The Cook Political Report introduced the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts.. Here's how it works: "A Partisan Voter Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the . background: #4c4c4c; The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. font-size: 12px; [post_parent] => Why Are Republicans Going After Wokeness Instead of Going After Biden? width: 150px; [5], 2006 [queries] => Array Quorum Analytics is not affiliated with, licensed, endorsed, or sponsored by Leidos Innovations Technology or its affiliates. padding-left: 16px; The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. [tag__and] => Array column-count: auto; Utilizamos Cookies propias y de terceros para mejorar nuestros servicios y mostrarle publicidad relacionada con sus preferencias mediante el anlisis de sus hbitos de navegacin. .results_row.winner { With the PVI ratings and the 2020 elections on the horizon, legislators in 29 states have introduced over 100 bills calling for changes to their states redistricting process or for the creation of an independent redistricting commission. .leg-infobox-state-flag { } .inner_percentage, .inner_percentage.Nonpartisan, .inner_percentage.Independent, .inner_percentage.Constitution, .inner_percentage.unknown { .non_result_row { [second] => ) But Hes Still a Danger. display: inline-block; [cache_results] => 1 [4] As of 2022[update], in the House, there are 222 districts more Republican than the national average, and 206 districts more Democratic than the national average. ( [6], 2004 Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? [tag__not_in] => Array top: -9999px; } } Your browser has turned off or is blocking Javascript. [attachment] => .votebox-results-cell--number { [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. padding: 2px; } She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole., Professor of Law and Political Science } [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. text-align: left !important; color: #fff; 27 febrero, 2023 . Stakeholder Management & Engagement Software, News: Announcing the Launch of Quorum PAC, Government Relations Strategic Plan Template, Download & Build an Effective Stakeholder Engagement Matrix, Three Examples of Effective Government Relations Strategy, Three Examples of Successful Public Affairs Strategy, Seven Examples of Effective Grassroots Advocacy Campaigns, Five Examples of Stakeholder Engagement Strategy, 9 Innovations for Your Public Affairs Strategy. padding-bottom: 0px; } On November 8, 1994, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. 100% remote. display: flex; .percentage_number { The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. max-width: 600px; 2020-23, 53 U.C. box-sizing: border-box; background-color: #ccf; [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. height: 100%; [m] => } . flex: 0 0 150px; At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. The letter (either a D for Democratic or an R for Republican) reflects the major party toward which the district (or state) leans. NO. Increase PAC participation, collect contributions, and file with the FEC. border-top: 1px solid #aaa; padding-top: 8px; color: #888; .infobox td { } Follow the news on key issue areas. } ( } .leg-hnt-toggle-text { text-align: center; position: absolute; These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage. The Cook Partisan Voting Index score for the old district was R+2, while the score for the new district is D+1. [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary [14] On October 13, 2021, the House Redistricting Committee approved an amended version of the congressional map, and both chambers of the legislature approved a finalized version of the map on October 18, 2021. [query] => Array ( [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. display: inline-block; The link below will take you to maps of polling places and precincts for each of suburban Cook County's thirty townships. The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. overflow-y: hidden; } overflow-y: hidden; } [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. [attachment_id] => 0 } } [meta_key] => [4][5], The Cook Political Report published its first Partisan Voter Index (PVI) in August 1997. She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. line-height: 1.5em; } } [post_date_gmt] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 Texas' 30th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Jasmine Crockett (D). background-color: #dac113; margin-right: 10px; background-color: #6db24f; That's rendered recent election results a better indicator of how a state or district will vote in the future, and "ancestral" partisan performance of less but still some value. The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. .infobox.infobox-container { All Rights Reserved. Greg Abbott (R) signed the map into law on October 25, 2021. And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. Acquire, educate, and activate supporters to reach your goals. (Foundation Press, 2022) by Samuel Issacharoff, Pamela S. Karlan, Richard H. Pildes, Nathaniel Persily, and Franita Tolson, Election Law in a Nutshell (2d ed., West Academic Publishing, 2017) Phil Gray advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 19, 2022. [post_name__in] => Array box-sizing: border-box; ) } For example, the 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections. background-color: #ccc; Jasmine Crockett defeated James Rodgers, Zachariah Manning, Phil Gray, and Debbie Walker in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 8, 2022. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.07 points toward that party.[24]. } display: block; Wolters Kluwer, 2020), Season 4, Episode 6 Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Season 4, Episode 5 Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Season 4, Episode 4 Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Season 4, Episode 3 Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Season 4, Episode 2 Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Season 4, Episode 1 Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. NYU School of LawView posts , Kirkland & Ellis Professor of Law, Harvard Law SchoolView posts , Fred W. & Vi Miller Dean and Professor of Law } } 9, 2022, How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, Slate, Mar. On November 7, 2000, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. flex: 0 0 175px; Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. } event.srcElement.innerText = '[hide]'; ) margin-bottom:16px; width: 90%; margin-top: 5px; The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. .votebox-covid-disclaimer { [meta_value] => The top five finishers, not just one Republican and one Democrat, qualify for the general election. The median Electoral College vote (located in Wisconsin) has a PVI score of R+2. cook partisan voting index by state. event.srcElement.innerText = '[show]'; [category_name] => This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. } [22], Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+29. L. Rev. } .votebox-scroll-container { justify-content: center; [post_type] => resources Following each election and round of redistricting, presidential results are compiled to generate PVI scores for each congressional district. .votebox { left: -9999px; Connecticut's 2nd District also had a D+3 rating. color: #0645ad; background-color: #003388; The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. But Hes Still a Danger, Washington Post, Mar. font-size: 2em; [16] This map took effect for Texas' 2022 congressional elections. ) Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. [post_author] => 1 font-style: italic; [preview] => [5] The table below reflects the current state of Congress and governors, based on the most recent election results. padding-right: 2px; Our full 2022 Cook PVI report is available for subscribers. .leg-infobox-census-source { if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; .leg-hnt-container { The Senate released a proposed congressional map on September 27, 2021, and approved an amended version of the proposal on October 8, 2021. [meta_table] => [meta_id_column] => ) border-collapse: collapse !important; ) The residents of the 8th district are currently represented by DemocraticCongressmanDon Beyer, elected in November 2014. } height: 22px; flex-direction: column; .results_row td { Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. [ID] => 1487 [sentence] => .election_results_text { [posts_per_page] => 10 [embed] => display: block; [18][19][20], Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. ( } The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI, usually just PVI) has become one of the standard measures of assessing a political unit's partisan lean, one often seen in diaries on this. } } vertical-align: top; margin: 0; background-color: #003388; font-weight: 300; .votebox_bp_logo { padding-bottom: 8px; top: -5px; } [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. She defeated Fred Wood (R) and Jarrett Woods (L) in the general election. .results_row { top: 2px; font-weight: bold; [date_query] => Privacy Policy. For more than two decades, the PVI has helped map the trends of our country's shifting political landscape. background-color: grey; .leg-hnt-border-top { [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. padding-bottom: 3px; The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. [1] [2] In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. [no_found_rows] => Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. 61, Anita S. Krishnakumar, Cracking the Whole Code Rule (February 19, 2020). .leg-hnt-district-number { font-size: larger; overflow: hidden; color:white; Easily manage relationships with one platform to organize, monitor, and report. } Additionally, in Washingtons 13th Legislative District, Republican candidates won an average 64.73% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (64.73%) against the average statewide share of the same (45.43%), the district voted approximately 19 percentage points more Republican, or R+19.Following the presidential and gubernatorial elections, presidential and gubernatorial results are compiled to generate Hybrid Partisan Voting Index scores for statewide offices, congressional districts, and political districts or subdivisions including state legislative districts, counties, cities, and precincts.