Seems like the wind is always howling outside my window these days. This is also the most active season in eight years after several. This naturally results in warmer air at the equator and colder air at the poles. The image below shows the ENSO regions in the tropical Pacific. At times the . 1-Stop Winter Forecast But, as the temperature begins to drop over the polar regions, so does the pressure. Central U.S. Nebraska's Trent Hixson talks to the media on Wednesday. April 22-23rd: A powerful low-pressure system produced high winds across the area from the 22nd into the 23rd. The most recent ECMWF extended seasonal forecast actually shows the developing warm phase (El Nino), starting in late Summer 2022. That doesn't seem like a huge departure from average, but it does put us ahead of most of the last decade . Below we have the latest global ocean temperature anomaly from NOAA. "These high winds combined with drought is not a good scenario.. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. Prior to the SSW event, the polar vortex was colder than normal and had good circulation. Looking closer at the last few years, we can see even better how last year, in 2021, the solar activity picked up again, now continuing into 2022. The average wind speed since April 1 at DIA has been about 13 mph, more than 2 mph higher than the average for that time period. One of the reasons the winds have been a point of conversation for Nebraskans all spring, is what has resulted because of the wind. "Not only has the average wind speed been higher, but we've also had more gusty days." In an average Minnesota winter, Blumenfeld said there are three to four days when the winds gust above 40 mph . But as the polar regions are cooling, the atmosphere further south is still relatively warm as it continues to receive energy from the Sun. Why has it been so windy in North Texas lately? Looking more closely at the past 3 years, we can see how each phase descended over time. Extremely strong winds caused by storms have increased even faster, jumping 10 percent over 20 years, according to the new analysis of global satellite data. We can observe large-scale pressure changes in the tropics as ENSO shifts between warm and cold phases. SKYWARN. Both March 2022 and April 2022 came in with average wind speeds that are higher than normal. Winds are generated by differences in atmospheric pressure. That is reflected in the global airmass temperatures, as we see a strong cold pool in western Canada. 9 things to know about Holi, Indias most colorful festival, Anyone can discover a fossil on this beach. The southern United States is forecast to have normal to drier conditions, expected for a La Nina season. For daily weather, a single solar cycle does not have a direct influence. Just like in the oceans, we again have a region that alternates between a positive and a negative phase. Weather Stories The calmer time of year lasts for 3.5 months, from June 1 to September 15. Storm Prediction Center ECMWF produces these extended seasonal forecasts every few months. This also causes a pressure difference as a large low-pressure (cyclonic) circulation starts to develop across the Northern Hemisphere from the surface layers, far up into the stratosphere. Here's a look at the answer in the video above. Current Hazards Climate Prediction ButRuiz-Columbi said climate change could generate contradictory forces: While some changing atmospheric dynamics could lead to a lessening of winds,others could lead to an increase (this is similar to how contradictory atmospheric forces could affect tornadoes, leading to possible "droughts" in occurrence punctuated by intense outbreaks). [More: Yes, it. By comparison, average daily wind speeds drop markedly to 11.2 mph in May, 10.6 mph in June, 9.8 mph in July and 9.6 mph in August. Event Ready Another volunteer has died fighting wildfires in Nebraska, and multiple people were injured in fires across the state over the weekend. By 6 p.m., the high pressure system that was near southeast Wisconsin early. There is still a chance that winds may top 30 mph the rest of this evening, as a cold front approaches our region. A key reason: the need for reliable energy as the world shifts away from fossil fuels. Looking quickly at the global precipitation forecast, we see mostly drier to normal conditions over Europe, under a high-pressure system, and wetter in the north. Jackson Western Kansas: Dust storms have blocked the sun and hindered travel on numerous days. Of course, a new grand minimum does not start in one year, tho we are seeing each new solar cycle being weaker than the previous one. Typically, a polar vortex circulation collapses due to a rise in temperature in pressure in the stratosphere. The QBO is an important part of weather development in winter, as it can affect the North Atlantic jet stream. It's surprisingly dry right now in my section of Florida. Over North America, we see the large cold pool over western Canada and Alaska. Take Omaha as an example. For the average wind turbine, that translates to a 17% increase in potential wind energy. Below is a graph that shows annual tornado numbers in the United States from 1954 to 2014, which is quite a good sample size. Temperature gradients at the surface and above result in rising and sinking air, which is how we get low pressure and high pressure. In May alone, there have been more than 300 tornadoes reported. Want to learn more about the Weather? The precipitation pattern follows the colder air, as a supply of moisture is available. In the days immediately after he worked a frightening Nebraska dust storm, State Patrol Lt. Michael Korte said he continued to find dust and grit on himself and in his cruiser. The highest sustained wind averaging over two minutes was 57 mph. March was just barely windier than normal at three tenths of a mph stronger. Considering that the QBO is in the tropics, there is a strong linkage to the ENSO, that we have mentioned already above. That's why it has been so windy too, as we are stuck between a strong high pressure center to the north and that low south. Tornado History That is similar to what we have seen in December, but with a reduced frequency. We produced a unique image below, which is quite simple to read. "Climate change has the potential to influence the fluctuations in wind speed, but other factors influence wind, too," Chen said. Meteorologist Jennifer Ketchmark breaks it down. We decided to take a deeper dive into the numbers. That is the fingerprint of the La Nina and is likely to stay present well into the early Spring season. Overall, the current event is marked as a moderately-strong La Nina. LMK Warning Area What has been surprising, Rush said, has been the strength and relentlessness of the wind. That period was better known as the little ice age, as global temperatures dropped in response. The image below shows the temperature anomaly in the ENSO 3.4 region and reveals a stronger cooling since early October due to stronger trade winds. Watch a local tv weather report, they will tell you. Strong winds in the stratosphere travel in a belt around the planet at the equator. A west phase was active in 2019, and a weak negative in 2020. Below we have the corresponding average temperature 0-30 days after an SSW event. Below we see the zonal (west-east) winds in the stratosphere above the equator over time. Weather reports include observations of wind speed and direction measured at the height of 10 meters (33 feet) above the surface. Climate Graphs We see the typical low-pressure area in the North Pacific and also over the southern United States. Log In. A dominant high-pressure system in the North Pacific, with a low-pressure zone over Canada and the northern United States. The source of the warming usually comes with the energy from the lower layers, as strong weather systems can actually deflect a lot of energy upwards into the stratosphere, disrupting its dynamics. Chris Jambor, left, and his son Dexter Jambor, 8, enjoy the Nebraska's 2022 spring game from the sound end of the Memorial Stadium on Saturday. Steven Senne/Associated Press. Continuous winds year to date. It is a sudden rise of temperatures in the polar stratosphere during the cold season, as the name suggests. Generally, the reason for our bad hair days and uncontrollable car door hinges is the pressure gradient force. Keep in mind that this is an average of sustained winds. The reason behind Wednesday's strong winds is easier to see by looking at our atmosphere's setup closer to the surface. Get the daily forecast and severe weather alerts in your inbox! Research is spotty, OPS, teachers union agree on new contract with $7,200 boost in base pay, Windy, stormy weather in the forecast for Omaha, Nebraskan dies fighting wildfire, 15 others injured this weekend, Rains have eased drought and fire risk in Nebraska for now, Weather researchers crisscross Nebraska, Great Plains, studying storms, Winter storm claims life in Nebraska; conditions improve next week. We now know what this La Nina is, and how it usually impacts the weather. Think of it this way, let's look at winter storms. Unauthorized use is prohibited. How did this mountain lion reach an uninhabited island? In terms of climate change, researchers say winds could lessen in a phenomenon dubbed "global stilling." But why are there more tornadoes and other severe weather in the southern United States during a La Nina? 1-Stop Drought If the wind speed is strong greater than 17 mph and highly variable, the weather report will include the wind gust, which is the maximum observed wind speed. The world has gotten stormier over the past two decadesand the reason is a mystery, a new study says. It shows the global west-to-east (zonal) winds, from the south pole (-90), over the Equator (0) to the north pole (90). The wind turns the blades of a turbine around a rotor that spins a generator either directly or through a shaft and a series of gears that speed up the rotation from the blades and allows for a smaller generator to be used. Why is it so windy? Going into Spring, we see a return to the neutral phase (between 0.5 and -0.5), with an increased chance of an El Nino developing later in 2022. Weather Safety Rules Records go back to 1899. 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